Cyclones

Cyclones and storm surges

A tropical cyclone is regarded as the most destructive meteorological phenomenon. It ravages life and property, especially over the coastal belt, through storm surges and extremely strong winds at the time of landfall (Debsarma et al, 2014). Bangladesh is a cyclone-prone country. Cyclones hit the coastal areas of Bangladesh every year, and on average a severe cyclone, with wind speed ranging 90–119 km per hour, strikes Bangladesh every three years. Cyclone risk spans the entire coastline of Bangladesh, and the historical evidence highlights the danger associated with cyclone-induced storm surges. The vulnerability of Bangladesh may increase even more as current scientific evidence points towards a probable increase in the frequency of intense tropical cyclones in the Bay of Bengal (Dasgupta et al., 2014).

Bangladesh is especially vulnerable to cyclones because of its location at the triangular shaped head of the Bay of Bengal, the sea-level geography of its coastal area, its high population density and the lack of coastal protection systems. During the pre-monsoon (April–May) or post-monsoon (October–November) seasons, cyclones frequently hit the coastal regions of Bangladesh. About 40% of the total global storm surges are recorded in Bangladesh. In the past century, two of the world’s deadliest tropical cyclones occurred in Bangladesh in 1970 and in 1991, killed about 300,000 and 140,000 people, respectively (Islam & Peterson, 2009; Haque et al., 2012).

The Bay of Bengal is a favorable breeding ground for cyclones. About 5.5% cyclonic storms (wind speed greater than or equal to 62 km/hr) form in the Bay of Bengal and about 1% of the global total of cyclonic storms hit Bangladesh. Cyclone is a vortex of low pressure system; Bay of Bengal having sea surface area with 27°C temperature, shallow water in the north Bay, the northward-converging nature of the Bay and high astronomical tides are some of the factors that made the country more prone to tropical cyclone events (CCC, 2009).

Recent findings based on a combination of theory and modeling shows that, as the climate warms, the actual total number of storms should decline globally, but the incidence of the severe Category 3, 4 and 5 storms is expected rise. Also, warming the atmosphere will increase the rainfall from hurricanes, and that should be a major concern.

Fig: Tracks of major cyclones crossed Bangladeshi coast 

(Source: https://en.banglapedia.org/index.php/Cyclone)

 

        The eye of Bhola cyclone, 1970 (www. ranker.com)

The deadliest cyclone ever recorded is the 1970 Bhola cyclone that hit Bangladesh (then East Pakistan) and India’s West Bengal on November 12, 1970. While the exact death toll is unknown it is estimated that 300,000-500,000 people perished in the aftermath of this storm, making it the deadliest natural disaster in human history. The cyclone was CAT 3 hurricane. The killing power of the cyclone’s surge flooded most of the low lying islands in the Ganges delta, literally wiping villages and crops off the face of the earth.

 The loss of human life didn’t stop immediately and it’s believed that the number may have as much as doubled in the months following the cyclone due to disease and starvation. Officials were criticized by the Pakistani government and media around the world for their poor aid efforts. (www.whatonearth.com)

Table: Historic cyclones and impact in Bangladesh

Year and Name

Affected
Area

Type of
Distribution

Deaths

Other Information

1950 (15-20
November)

Patuakhali

Cyclonic Storm

Unknown

Unknown

1958 (16-19
May)

Eastern Meghna
estuary

Cyclonic
Storm

870
people

Casualty: 14,500
cattle

1958 (21-24
October)

Noakhali
and West
Meghna
estuary

Cyclonic
Storm

12,000 people

Approx. 100,000
families were
rendered homeless.

1960 (25-29
May)

Sundarban Coast (landfall at Sundarban)

Cyclonic
Storm

106 people

Unknown

1960 (9-10
October)

Meghna
estuary
(landfall at
Noakhali)

Severe
Cyclonic
Storm

3,000 people.

Maximum Wind:201 km/hour
Maximum Surge: 3.05 metres
62,725 houses destroyed.
Crops on 94,000 acres (380 km2) of land were destroyed.

1960 (30-31
October)

Chattogram coast
(landfall
at Chattogram)

Severe
Cyclonic
Storm

10,000
people

Maximum Wind:210 km/h
Surge: 4.5–6.1 m. Casualty: 27,793 cattle. Losses: 568,161 houses destroyed (including 70%
houses in Hatiya). Also, two large
ocean-going ships ran aground in the shore, and 5–7 vessels capsized in Karnaphuli River

1961 (6-9
May)

Meghna
estuary
(landfall near
Feni river)

Severe
Cyclonic
Storm

11,468
people

Maximum Wind:161 km/h
Surge height:2.44-3.05 m
Casualty: 25,000 cattle. Damages: The railway tracks
between Noakhali and Harinarayanpur were damaged

1961 (27-30
May)

Chattogram
Noakhali
coast

Cyclonic
storm

10,466
people

w=95 to 145 km/h and total
water level was 7m at
Chittagong

1962 (26-30
October)

Feni Chattogram coast

Severe
Cyclonic
Storm

50,000
people

Maximum Wind:161 km/h
Surge height:2.5-3m

1963 (28-29
May)

Noakhali
Cox's
Bazar
Coast
(landfall
near
Chattogra
m)

Severe
Cyclonic
Storm

11,520
people

Maximum
Wind:203 km/h
(164 km/h at Cox's
Bazar)
Surge height:4.3-
5.2 m
Casualty: 32,617
cattle. Damages:
376,332 houses,
4,787 boats, and
standing crops.

1965 (11-12
May)
“Barishal
Cyclone”

Barisal
Chattogram coast

Cyclonic
Storm

19,279
people

Wind speed was
about 160 km per
hour associated
with storm surge of
3.7-7.6 metre.

1965 (31
May-1 June)

Chattogram Coast

Severe
Cyclonic
Storm

12,000
people

Tide plus surge was
7.1m at Companyganj. At
Chittagong 1.6m surge on tide

1965 (14-15
December)

Cox's Bazar Teknaf coast
(landfall near Cox's Bazar)

Cyclonic
Storm

873
people

Wind speed was about 217 km per hour and 2.3-3.6
metre storm surges

1966 (1
October)

Chattogram and
Sandwip
(landfall near Chattogram)

Cyclonic
Storm

850
people

Wind speed was about 139 km per hour associated
with storm surges of 6-7 metre.
Total people affected: 1.5 million people

1967 (23-24
October)

Chattogram-Cox's Bazar
coast

Cyclonic
Storm

128
people

w=130
km/h, s=2m and
t=0.0m

1969 (11
October)

Khulna coast

Cyclonic
Storm

175
people

Unknown

1970 (5-7
May)

Chattogram-Teknaf
coast (landfall
at Cox's Bazar)

Cyclonic
Storm

18
people

w=148
km/h, s=2.3m and
t=0.2m.

1970 (7-13
November)
“Bhola
Cyclone”

Khulna
Chattogra
m coast
(landfall
at Hatia)

Severe
Cyclonic
Storm

300,000
people

Damages include destruction of approximately 20,000 fishing boats, and also property and crops. Total loss of cattle reached more than one million. More than 400,000 houses and 3,500 educational institutions were destroyed.
Maximum Wind:222 km/h
Maximum Surge:10.6 m.

1971 (28-30
November)

Sunderba
n coast

Cyclonic
Storm

11,000
people

Wind Speed:97– 113 km/h
Surge height:1 m
Effect: Low-lying areas of Khulna
town inundated

1974 (13-15
August)

Khulna
coast

Cyclonic
Storm

600
people

Maximum
Wind:80.5 km/h

1974 (24-28
November)

Cox's Bazar
Chattogram
offshore Islands
(landfall at Chattogram)

Cyclonic
Storm

200
people

Maximum
Wind:161 km/h
Surge height:2.8-
5.2 m
Casualty: 1000
cattle. Damages:
2,300 houses
destroyed.

1983
(15October)

Chattogram-Feni coast
(landfall
near
Chattogram)

Cyclonic
Storm

43
people

w=122 km/h.
1000
fishermen missing
and 20% aman
crops destroyed

1983 (9 November)

Chattogram-Teknaf
coast (landfall
between
Chattogram
and Cox's
Bazar)

Severe
Cyclonic
Storm

Unknown

w=136 km/h,
s=2.5m.
300 fishermen with
50 boats
missing; 2000
houses,22
institutions
destroyed

1985 (24-25
May)
“Urir Char
Cyclone”

Noakhali
Cox's Bazar
coast
(landfall
at
Sandwip)

Severe
cyclone

11,069
people

- Hit the country
with a wind speed
of 154 km per hour
and 3.0-4.6 metre
storm surges.
- 94,379 houses
were damaged

1986 (9
November)

Barguna
Chattogram coast

Cyclonic
Storm

14
people

w=110 km/h.

1988 (29-30
November)
“Cyclone
04B”

Sunderban

Severe
cyclonic
storm

5,708
people

- Wind speed was
162 km per hour
accompanied by a
storm surge of 4.5
metre.

1990 (7-8
October)

Barguna
Noakhali
coast

Cyclonic
Storm

Unknow
n

150 fishermen with
16 mechanised
boats missing

1991 (29
April)

Patuakhali-Cox's
Bazar coast
(landfall
north of
Chattogram)

Catastrophic
cyclone

138,000
people

It caused a damage
of around $1.5
billion.

1997 (19
May)

Coastal
belt of
Bangladesh

Cyclonic
Storm

155
people

Wind speed was
230 km per hour

2007 (15
November)
“Cyclone
Sidr”

Coastal
belt of
Bangladesh

Cyclonic
Storm

3,363
people

- Hit the country’s
coastal belt with a
wind speed of 223
km per hour

2008 (8 May)
“Cyclone
Nargis”

Coastal
belt of
Bangladesh

Cyclonic
Storm

3500
people

Unknown

2009 (25
May)
“Cyclone
Aila”

Offshore
15
districts
of
southwest
ern part of
Banglades
h

Cyclonic
Storm

150
people

- 200,000 houses were damaged in the storm
- Combined with high tides, the
cyclone surge caused widespread flooding and damaged in the southern districts.
- Wind speed was 120 km per hour

2013 (16
May)
“Cyclone
Mahasen”

Chattogram

Cyclonic
Storm

17 people

Wind speed was 85 km per hour

2016 (21
May)
“Cyclone
Roanu”

Chattogram

Cyclonic
Storm

26
people

Around 40,000 houses were
damaged in the storm

2017 (28 May)
“Cyclone
Mora”

Cox’s
Bazar

Cyclonic
Storm

7 people

High winds, heavy rain and tidal
surges triggered severe floods and landslides

2019 (4 May)
“Cyclone
Fani”

- Coastal
belt of
Banglades
h
(northeast
ward)
- Eastern
coast of
India

Cyclone with
the strongest
storm

12
people

Cyclone Fani, the strongest storm to hit the Indian
subcontinent in the last five years barrelled into
Bangladesh after leaving a trail of destruction across
the eastern coast of India.

2020 (21
May)
“Cyclone
Amphan”

Patuakhali,
Satkhira,
Pirojpur,
Bhola and
Barguna

Cyclone with
the strongest
storm

18 people

- Wind speed was 85 km per hour.
- In Barguna, fisheries worth Tk
1 million and crops across 200 acres of land were inundated by the storm surge, which rose up to 11 feet.
- About 1.5 crore people in 25
districts of the country have been without electricity since the day before the cyclone hit. It
will take 24 hours for the situation to return to normal

2021 "Cyclone Yaas"

Bhola, Patuakhali, Sathkira, Bagerhat and Barguna.

Cyclone with
the strongest
storm

3 people

The cyclonic event affected approximately 1.3 million people, damaged around 26,000 houses as well as 16,183 latrines and 1,986 water points in 9 coastal districts. It is also estimated that around 39 percent of croplands have been damaged and 3,599 hectares of prawn and fish cultivation area affected.

2022

“Cyclone SITRANG”

Bhola, Bagerhat, Barguna, Cox’s Bazar, Khulna, Patuakhali

Cyclonic Storm

At least 35 people died

Wind speed was highest 74 kmph

2.3 million people affected including 800,000 refugees

1.1 million Children affected

1 million People in cyclone shelters

10,000 houses and crops of 6,000 hectares had been damaged. Another 1,000 fish enclosures were destroyed

Source: [1], https://reliefweb.int/disasters?advanced-search=%28C31%29_%28TY4618%29

Storm surges

Storm surges are the main cause of destruction from a cyclone.  It is a large column of water that washes ashore when a cyclone made landfall. Cyclonic storm surges are dependent on a variety of factors: storm intensity and velocity, radius and pressure of winds, angle of approach and the shape and characteristics of coast, etc. With more intense cyclones it is likely that there will be large storm surges and being a populous delta, the impact will be enormous. The coastal region of Bangladesh is particularly vulnerable to storm surge flooding because of low-lying heavily inhabited areas and continental shelf with shallow bathymetry, which amplifies the storm surge height, causing disastrous floods along the coast (Deb & Ferreira, 2018; Murty et al., 1986; Dube et al., 1997; Madsen and Jakobsen, 2004).

 Reference

  • Debsarma, S. K., Rahman, M. M., & Nessa, F. F. (2014). Simulation of Cyclone ‘Aila-2009’by using WRF-ARW model and numerical storm surge model. In Monitoring and prediction of tropical cyclones in the Indian Ocean and Climate Change (pp. 263-273). Springer Nether-lands.
  • (2009). Characterizing Country Settings: Development of a Base Document in the Backdrop of Climate Change Impacts. Climate Change Cell (CCC), DoE, MoEF, Component 4b, CDMP, MoFDM. GoB.
  • Haque U, Hashizume M, Kolivras KN, Overgaard HJ, Das B, Yamamoto T. Reduced death rates from cyclones in Bangladesh: what more needs to be done? Bull World Health Organ. 2012 Feb 1;90(2):150–6.
  • Islam, T., & Peterson, R. E. (2009). Climatology of landfalling tropical cyclones in Bangladesh 1877–2003. Natural Hazards, 48(1), 115–135. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-008-9252-4
  • Deb, M., & Ferreira, C. m. (2018). Simulation of cyclone-induced storm surges in the low-lying delta of Bangladesh using coupled hydrodynamic and wave model (SWAN + ADCIRC). Journal of Flood Risk Management, 11(S2), S750–S765. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12254
  • Murty P.L.N., Sandhya K.G., Bhaskaran P.K., Jose F., Gayathri R., Nair T.M.B., Kumar T.S. & Shenoi S.S.C. A coupled hydrodynamic modeling system for PHAILIN cyclone in the Bay of Bengal. Coast Eng 2014, 93, 71–81.
  • Dube S.K., Chittibabu P., Sinha P.C., Rao A.D. & Murty T.S. Numerical modeling of storm surges in the head Bay of Bengal using location specific model. Nat Hazards 2004, 31, 437–453.
  • Mandal M.M., Roy G.D., Kabir A.B.M.H. & Haque M.Z. Development of an improved tide and surge interaction model for the coast of Bangladesh. UGC Technical Report, Shahjalal University of Science and Technology, Sylhet, Bangladesh, 1996, p. 113.
  • Hossain I, Mullick AR. Cyclone and Bangladesh: A historical and environmental overview from 1582 to 2020. International Medical Journal. 2020;25(6):2595-614.
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